In addition
to increased levels of atmospheric CO2, we have been introduced to several
factors that will contribute to future climate change (see Climate Change: The Science from the University of Exeter). These include: 1)
increased levels of atmospheric methane from decomposition of old organic
matter with thawing permafrost regions; 2) reduction in the extent of the
Amazon rain forest; 3) melting of the West Antarctic ice sheet enhancing the
ice-albedo feedback loop and further increases of sea level; and 4) disruption
of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation that moderates temperatures in north
Atlantic and coastal regions of Europe.
The
thermohaline current stretches across the globe as shown below.
(Robert Simmon, NASA. Minor
modifications by Robert A. Rohde also released to the public domain - NASA
Earth Observatory, Public Domain,
https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=3794372)
The warm waters of the
Gulf Stream flow along the east coast of North America into the north Atlantic
into areas bordering Greenland, Iceland, Norway and the UK. As this stream
cools it sinks and flows down and southward along the ocean floor into the
Antarctic region. The melt of sea ice in the north polar region releases fresh
water into the surrounding areas. The thermohaline current is salty and heavier
than fresh water that may override it and disrupt its flow. A shift in the
thermohaline current could result in significant cooling in north Atlantic
regions. The decline in the strength of this thermohaline current is believed
to have produced significant temperature decline over much of the temperate
northern hemisphere from about 12,900 to 11,700 BP [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Younger_Dryas].
An unexpected weakening of the current in 2013 is believed to have resulted in
the quietest hurricane season since 1994 [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermohaline_circulation] illustrates its ability to have short term impacts as well.
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